
Iran's foreign minister said talks won't start if US threats continue, raising geopolitical risk. Oil prices may spike, pressuring consumer stocks like Apple (AAPL).
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Tuesday that negotiations on a final deal with the United States will not begin if Washington continues its threats. The statement came after President Donald Trump threatened to "finish the job" if no agreement is reached.
"Negotiations on final deal will not commence if threats continue. Honor your signature," Araqchi wrote on X, referring to an interim deal signed last month that commits both sides to refrain from the threat or use of force.
The remark signals that the fragile framework agreed in March is already under strain. Araqchi's post directly challenges Trump's rhetoric, and the gap between the two sides appears to be widening rather than narrowing.
For markets, the breakdown in diplomatic language raises the probability of a military escalation in the Persian Gulf. Oil traders have been watching the region closely; any disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz would hit crude supplies. Brent crude could see a risk premium of several dollars per barrel if the situation deteriorates further.
Higher oil prices are a headwind for consumer discretionary stocks. Apple (AAPL), as a large-cap tech name with global consumer exposure, could face selling if risk aversion spreads. Energy stocks, by contrast, would likely rally on the same catalyst.
The interim deal was supposed to create a cooling-off period. Araqchi's comments suggest that period may be shorter than expected. The next concrete marker is whether Trump responds directly to the foreign minister's statement or whether back-channel talks continue.
No date has been set for the next round of formal negotiations.
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