
Crude benchmarks climbed over 1% as markets price in a risk premium following threats to close the Strait of Hormuz. Traders await Tuesday's deadline.
Oil prices advanced on Monday following a blunt ultimatum from former U.S. President Donald Trump directed at Iran. In an expletive-laden post on social media, Trump declared that Iran would be "living in Hell" unless it reopens the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping by Tuesday. The strait is a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, with roughly a fifth of the world's oil supply passing through it daily. Markets reacted swiftly to the geopolitical risk, with crude benchmarks rising on concerns that a closure could disrupt supplies. "They better open it by Tuesday, or they will be in big trouble," Trump wrote, adding that Iran would face "severe consequences" if it did not comply. The warning comes amid heightened tensions in the region, following recent attacks on shipping and a drone strike that killed an Iranian general in Syria. Iranian officials have not formally responded to the specific deadline but have previously vowed to defend their territorial waters. Analysts note that while the threat is severe, the immediate market impact hinges on Iran's actual actions in the strait. "The market is pricing in a risk premium," noted one energy strategist. "The Strait of Hormuz is the single most important oil transit route, and any hint of disruption sends prices higher." Brent crude futures were last marked higher by over 1%, while West Texas Intermediate also gained. The situation remains fluid, with traders closely monitoring developments in the Persian Gulf.
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