
WTI crude fell to $78.36, testing the 20-day MA and 61.8% Fibonacci support. Sellers broke the 50-day MA, confirming bearish momentum. Next support is the 200-day MA at $76.83.
WTI crude oil dropped to $78.36 on Tuesday, testing a support zone formed by the 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline. Tuesday's low of $78.36 sat just below the 20-day MA at $78.62 and above the Fibonacci level at $77.90. The session closed at $78.40, in the lower third of the day's range, indicating persistent selling pressure, traders said.
The decline extended a pullback from last week's high of $94.34. That high reached the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle pattern and completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the earlier selloff at $93.69, traders said. The symmetrical triangle pattern had been forming since March, with boundaries near $94 and $100. The rejection from the lower boundary suggests the pattern may continue to act as resistance, they said. Tuesday's move broke below the 50-day moving average, with the day's high of $83.04 acting as resistance. The 50-day MA had provided support during the rally in August and September, and the breakdown confirms a shift in intermediate momentum, they said.
The selling pressure from the $94.34 high has been consistent, traders said. That raises the chance of a test of the 200-day moving average at $76.83. The 200-day MA has been rising since June and is converging with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Traders said the $77.90 to $76.83 area could form a reinforced support zone if the moving average reaches the Fibonacci level.
A break below $77.90 would open the path to the 200-day MA, traders said. A successful test of that zone could provide the first sign of stabilization, they added. On the upside, resistance is at the 50-day MA near $83 and then the $85 area, they said.
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