
David Kuo says he has never sold a stock in four decades. The key: focus on business quality, not headlines, and let struggling stocks recover on the naughty step.
David Kuo has never sold a stock. Not during the Asian financial crisis, the dot-com crash, the global financial crisis, or the COVID-19 sell-off. He said the temptation never crossed his mind.
Every major sell-off in history has been followed by a recovery, Kuo said. Companies exist to generate profits for shareholders. If investors focus on business quality rather than headlines, they can hold through storms, he added.
Kuo said he asks himself what a business will look like 10, 20, or 30 years from now. That test, applied to Singapore's major banks two decades ago, would have produced strong returns, he said. Even during the depths of the 2008 crisis, when some feared local banks could collapse like Lehman Brothers, the banks survived because their underlying businesses were sound, Kuo argued.
He follows a simple rule for stocks that stumble. When a stock breaks and stops paying its dividend, Kuo does not sell it. He puts it on what he calls the "naughty step" at the top of his portfolio pyramid and gives it time to recover. Businesses in transition often restructure, merge, or get bought out by a competitor, he said.
Kuo cited a REIT in his own portfolio that was hit hard by COVID-19 because demand for its space dried up. Management is selling off assets to right the ship, he said. The REIT is not bankrupt, Kuo said. It is simply sitting on the naughty step until it stabilises and resumes its role as an income generator.
Because the other 19 stocks in the portfolio keep churning out dividends, Kuo said he does not worry about one minor setback. A well-constructed income portfolio eventually throws off so much cash that finding new places to invest becomes the biggest problem, he said.
"You don't need a sell strategy when you have a sound buying strategy," Kuo said. By focusing on business quality, proper diversification, and steady cash flow, investors can build a portfolio that lets them sleep through any crisis, he said.
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