
If Democrats sweep the House and Senate, Rep. Maxine Waters, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Shontel Brown would lead crypto policy. Their F ratings from Stand With Crypto signal a reset for industry legislation.
Next January, Representative Maxine Waters could return to chair the House Financial Services Committee. The California Democrat stands first in line for the gavel if her party wins the House majority, a scenario Kalshi puts at 84% likelihood. The Senate is a closer call – 47% for Democrats – but a win there would put Senator Elizabeth Warren atop the Banking Committee.
For crypto, that combination spells a reset. The industry’s main legislative push, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, faces a narrowing path through the Senate this September. If it stalls, the next Congress would likely start from scratch under chairs who have shown little appetite for the current bills.
Waters has a record of taking crypto seriously. She negotiated a stablecoin bill close to the finish line in 2022, a predecessor to the GENIUS Act that passed last year. She has been sharply critical of the Clarity Act, calling it the “Calamity Act” and saying it would “create giant loopholes in our federal financial laws that would put consumers and investors at risk.” She staged a walkout of a committee hearing on the bill. She also opposed crypto in retirement accounts and pushed legislation targeting President Trump’s crypto holdings.
“Regardless of how you feel about crypto, we can’t just ignore it,” said Blockchain Association CEO Summer Mersinger in a CoinDesk interview. “It’s here, and the best thing that we can do is create a federally federal regulatory structure for it.”
Shontel Brown, the Ohio Democrat likely to lead the House Agriculture Committee, has voted against every digital-assets bill. She earned an “F” grade from Stand With Crypto. Her statement on the Clarity Act: “I voted against the GENIUS and Clarity acts because they fail to adequately address abuse and instead open the door to corruption.” She said she could support policy that “protects consumers and allows innovation to benefit everyone.”
On the Senate side, Warren has been the industry’s most prominent Capitol Hill detractor. She has kept a steady spotlight on what she calls Trump’s crypto corruption. Under her time as ranking Democrat on the Banking Committee, she watched fellow Democrats negotiate on legislation she opposed. As chair, she would control the agenda. Former Senator Sherrod Brown, who ran the panel for years, did not allow a crypto measure through the gate.
Senator Michael Bennet, next in line for the Agriculture Committee if Amy Klobuchar leaves for a Minnesota governor bid, has voted against crypto policies at every turn. He introduced a bill in May that would impose crypto bans on government officials, including the president, in language stronger than the compromise effort in the Clarity Act.
All four – Waters, Brown, Warren, and Bennet – carry “F” ratings from Stand With Crypto. If the Clarity Act fails in September, the industry would face significant headwinds in the next Congress.
Digital Chamber CEO Cody Carbone said crypto should still be considered non-partisan. “We will always want to work with every lawmaker on commonsense solutions for this industry,” he told CoinDesk. “We have worked with many of the likely chairs, regardless of which party controlled Congress.”
A Democratic sweep would also likely trigger congressional investigations into Trump’s crypto business ties. Waters has already been among the critics. Even if a bill passed, the president could veto it. The next session could become a cycle of message-sending bills that go nowhere.
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