
King's College London war studies professor David Betz argues Europe's mass migration policies have created the conditions for internal conflict, stripping governments of legitimacy and setting the stage for insurgency.
David Betz, a professor of war studies at King's College London, argues that Europe's mass migration policies have created the conditions for internal conflict. In an interview, Betz said political elites have shredded the social contract by ignoring public mandates, leaving populations alienated and governments stripped of legitimacy.
Betz earned his PhD from the University of Glasgow and built his career studying insurgency, counterinsurgency, and information warfare. The 2016 Brexit referendum was a domestic turning point, he said. The political fallout and elite resistance after the vote showed that when a population believes the legal political apparatus no longer represents its interests, governments lose legitimacy in the eyes of the governed.
"When your legitimacy is low or absent, your costs of government go very high because people look for ways to achieve their aims outside of the political system," Betz said. "That is in effect what an insurgency is."
Betz highlighted how rapid demographic shifts and elite-driven mass migration have created an unresolvable tension between native populations and recent arrivals. Post-national ruling elites push policies that ignore both groups, he said. This cultural and political alienation directly degrades a state's defensive capacity. People who feel betrayed by their own leadership will refuse to volunteer or sacrifice, Betz argued.
He also offered an explanation for the new wars and conflicts seen in recent years. When things are falling apart at home, leaders seek foreign wars to distract from crumbling internal cohesion, Betz said.
The interview is part of a documentary titled "World War III." Betz's warnings come 11 years after Europe's 2015 migration crisis, when over 1.3 million asylum seekers arrived following Angela Merkel's "Wir schaffen das" speech. The promised benefits of multicultural enrichment have not materialized, Betz said. What Europe got instead was a shortcut to civil war.
"Europeans were told to embrace multiculturalism as a net positive for society and for the economy," Betz said. "They were told to open their hearts and their doors to newcomers. They weren't actually given a choice in the matter. Their leaders opened the doors anyway."
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