
Vedanta's three listed units shed up to 8% Monday as crude slipped below $70 and iron ore fell on Chinese steel output decline. Traders cited OPEC+ positioning; Nifty Metal down 2.5%.
Shares of Vedanta's power and steel units tumbled as much as 8% Monday, with the oil and gas arm dropping 7%. The selloff tracked a broad decline in global commodity prices that hit metals and energy.
Crude oil profile fell below $70 a barrel for the first time in three months. Brent crude has lost 8% this month, pressured by ample supply and concerns over demand from top importers India and China. Iron ore futures in Singapore slid 4% on renewed worries about Chinese steel demand. Chinese steel output in April fell 4% from a year earlier, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed. Copper and aluminum also lost ground.
The oil and gas arm, which accounts for roughly a third of group revenue, was the hardest hit. Traders said the decline reflected positioning adjustments ahead of the OPEC+ meeting later this month, where the group is expected to discuss output increases. The meeting is scheduled for May 31 in Vienna. Traders said the group is likely to debate a production increase of 500,000 barrels per day to compensate for recent outages. A sustained drop in crude would squeeze margins at the unit, which is the most sensitive among Vedanta's businesses to oil prices, traders added.
Vedanta's iron and steel unit dropped 6% after Chinese steel output data showed a second consecutive monthly decline. India's steel exports to China have been a growth driver for Vedanta's steel business; any slowdown in Chinese demand directly pressures margins, traders said. Chinese mills have cut production amid weak construction activity and steel export restrictions. India's steel ministry has also flagged concerns over global overcapacity.
The power business fell 5%. Power demand in India remains strong. Short-term tariffs on power exchanges have eased. Coal stocks have improved and hydro generation rose. Average spot power prices on the Indian Energy Exchange dropped 10% in the past week, traders said. Vedanta's power purchase agreements with state utilities provide some revenue stability. Spot market exposure remains a risk, and lower merchant power prices could pressure earnings at the unit, traders said.
Vedanta's structure, with each unit listed separately, lets investors trade specific commodity exposures. The simultaneous selloff across all three units suggests a macro-driven move rather than company-specific news, traders said. This pattern often occurs when hedge funds and commodity trading advisers cut risk ahead of key data and policy meetings.
The decline dragged down other commodity-linked names. Hindalco fell 3%, while Tata Steel and JSW Steel each lost 2%. The broader Nifty Metal index closed 2.5% lower, making it the worst-performing sector on the NSE. No corporate announcements were made Monday.
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