
First-year international students dropped 12% over two years, costing the UK economy £2.9 billion. The report warns further cuts will bring economic costs.
The number of first-year international students at UK universities fell by roughly 54,500, or 12%, over two academic years, costing the economy £2.9 billion, according to a report from London Economics commissioned by the Higher Education Policy Institute (Hepi) and Kaplan International Pathways.
The 2024-25 cohort totaled 685,565 students. The report measured economic impact by combining tuition fees, living expenses, and spending by visiting relatives and friends. The average net contribution per student is about £100,000, the analysis found.
The cohort will cost the public budget an estimated £4.7 billion through services like healthcare and public safety. Over their studies, they will generate £45.1 billion in total economic benefits, yielding a net benefit of £40.4 billion and a benefit-to-cost ratio of 9.7 to one.
The decline followed tighter immigration rules, including restrictions on dependents accompanying students. Starting in January, the post-study work period for bachelor's and master's graduates will shorten from two years to 18 months. The government also raised the financial proof requirement for student visa applicants. Students must now show between £1,171 and £1,529 per month for living support, depending on location.
The economic gains are spread unevenly across parliamentary constituencies. Holborn and St Pancras, represented by outgoing Prime Minister Keir Starmer, ranked highest. More than 11,500 international students there contribute over £1 billion to the economy. Makerfield, the constituency of likely future Prime Minister Andy Burnham, recorded a net benefit of about £4 million. Clacton, where Nigel Farage is expected to contest a by-election, saw a net contribution of £2.1 million.
Rose Stephenson, Hepi's director of policy and strategy, said the report provides important evidence for ongoing debates over immigration policy. "If ministers decide to further reduce international student numbers, they should be clear that there will be economic costs as well as potential political benefits," she said.
Linda Cowan, managing director at Kaplan International Pathways, said the international education market is becoming more competitive. The "Big Four" study destinations – the U.S., the U.K., Australia and Canada – have expanded into a broader group of more than a dozen leading destinations, she noted. "The U.K. is home to some of the world's foremost universities. We cannot rely on reputation alone. We must continue to demonstrate the value of a U.K. education and ensure international students feel welcomed from the moment they consider applying," she said.
The report arrives as the government weighs further restrictions. The findings suggest that any additional tightening would carry a measurable economic price, concentrated in the same constituencies that the policy changes are meant to appeal to. The debate over international student numbers is likely to intensify, with the report providing evidence for both sides.
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