
Trump withdrew his 20% Hormuz transit fee after 24 hours, replacing it with Gulf trade deals. The reversal, known as TACO, points to the vulnerability of global energy chokepoints.
President Donald Trump proposed a 20% transit fee on all cargo passing through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. Within 24 hours he withdrew the plan, replacing it with trade and investment deals with Gulf states, CNN reported.
The reversal fits a pattern markets call TACO, short for “Trump Always Chickens Out.” It describes his habit of announcing aggressive trade or security policies only to soften or drop them days later.
A 20% levy on Hormuz cargo would have been far higher than any existing waterway charge. Typical shipping fees on major routes run 2% to 3% of cargo value. Shipping companies had warned the fee would make the strait uneconomical and force rerouting, adding weeks to voyages around the Cape of Good Hope, CNN reported, citing industry sources.
The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most important energy chokepoint. Roughly 20% of global oil and a significant share of liquefied natural gas passes through it, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. A sustained fee would have raised delivered prices for Asian and European importers, traders said.
Other key waterways charge far less. The Suez Canal, operated by Egypt’s state-owned authority, costs about $380,000 for one Suezmax tanker passage as of July 1, Bloomberg data show. The Panama Canal charges between $350,000 and $400,000 for a medium-sized oil tanker, though auctioned slots can hit $1 million during droughts or geopolitical disruptions. The Turkish Straits, governed by the Montreux Convention, levy service fees: a Suezmax tanker pays roughly $240,000 for a round trip.
Several major straits impose no transit toll at all. The Strait of Malacca, linking the Indian Ocean with the South China Sea, receives only voluntary contributions for navigational aids. The Bab el-Mandeb, gateway to the Red Sea, has no fees. The Danish Straits and the Cape of Good Hope are also toll-free.
By comparison, a 20% Hormuz fee would have been orders of magnitude larger than any existing charge. For a standard crude tanker carrying $100 million in cargo, the levy would have reached $20 million per crossing, dwarfing even the $380,000 Suez Canal fee.
Oil futures showed little reaction to the withdrawal. Traders said the proposal was viewed as unlikely to survive from the start, given the rapid pushback from Gulf states and shipping lines. The episode may reduce the weight markets assign to future Hormuz-related threats, several traders added.
Trump’s decision to scrap the fee and pursue bilateral deals eases that near-term risk. The underlying standoff between the U.S. and Iran, however, keeps the waterway a flashpoint. Iran has threatened to block Hormuz in the past. For now, tankers continue to transit without extra cost.
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