
Brent crude fell from $100 a barrel as the US and UK plan a coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Indian pump prices have held steady since May, but analysts said sustained disruption could force OMCs to raise rates.
Retail fuel prices across India held steady on Saturday even as Brent crude fell from $100 a barrel, retreating after a week of fighting in West Asia that closed the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping.
State-run oil marketing companies (OMCs) have not adjusted pump prices since May 25, insulating Indian consumers from the global price swings. That stability may not last if the Strait remains closed, analysts said.
Fighting in the region entered its 14th day after a ceasefire collapsed. US missiles struck targets across Iran on Friday, and President Donald Trump vowed "major military punishment" for Tehran. Iran's Revolutionary Guard advised residents of neighboring countries to stay away from US bases and troops.
Iranian-backed Houthis launched attacks on Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, disrupting trade through the Suez Canal. The Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil shipments, remained closed to commercial traffic.
Brent crude touched $100 a barrel earlier in the week before falling roughly 4% on Friday to settle near $97, its biggest one-day drop since late June. The retreat came as the US and UK planned a high-level meeting in London next week to form an international coalition to safeguard shipping in the Strait, according to an Axios report.
"If escalation continues and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the impact will land on an energy market with far less resilience than in the spring," Theodore Bunzel, head of geopolitical advisory at Lazard Asset Management, told the Associated Press.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the Islamic Republic is "neither intimidated by threats nor will we yield to pressure," in an interview with the semiofficial news outlet Tasnim. He said Iran is in discussions with China and Russia.
An Omani delegation reached Tehran on Friday to discuss options for reopening the Strait and managing shipping traffic.
In the Oval Office on Friday, Trump called the negotiations with Iran "by far the most serious that we've seen" and said he is "not in a hurry" to end the war, the Associated Press reported.
For Indian consumers, the immediate risk is that sustained crude above $100 forces OMCs to raise pump prices, breaking a two-month run of stable retail rates. The next marker is the London meeting, where the US and UK will gauge whether a coalition can secure the Strait without a broader ground engagement.
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