
Scoping study for Stavely Minerals' Thursday's gossan project shows $818M pre-tax NPV7 and a 2.5-year payback; capital needs run near 29 times its market value.
Stavely Minerals (ASX:SVY) has completed a scoping study for the Thursday's gossan and Cayley lode deposits at its 100%-owned Stavely project in western Victoria. The study puts a pre-tax net present value of $818 million at a 7% discount rate on a standalone copper-gold-silver operation.
The development plan envisages a conventional processing plant with a crushing and grinding circuit and sulphide flotation, running at 4 million tonnes a year. The study is based on a mineral resource of 59 million tonnes at 0.58% copper equivalent. At that throughput the resource supports a mine life of roughly 15 years.
Stavely Minerals said the project would pay back its initial capital in 2.5 years of production, with average annual free cashflow of $110 million and net cashflow from operations of $1.4 billion over the mine's life. All-in sustaining costs are US$3.76 per pound of copper equivalent for the life of mine, falling to US$2.75 per pound in the first three years. Copper prices have held above US$4 a pound for much of the past two years, above the study's cost assumptions.
The 0.58% copper equivalent grade is modest, and the economics lean on the gold and silver by-product credits baked into that calculation. The first three years of production carry the lower all-in cost, which supports the payback profile before costs rise toward the life-of-mine average. Gold's record run this year has made those credits more valuable, a point covered in our gold profile.
The capital bill comes to $333 million for the process plant and mine-site infrastructure after a final investment decision, including a 30% contingency. A further $139 million covers pre-production work such as open-pit pre-stripping, for a combined $472 million. Against the $818 million NPV, that is a ratio of about 1.7 times. The company has not given a timeline for reaching a final investment decision.
Concentrate would be trucked in shipping containers 150 kilometres to the deep-water port at Portland for export, a route that avoids the infrastructure build-out common to more remote Australian copper projects.
SVY shares eased 3.13% on the day to 1.6 cents, a market value of about $16.5 million. The combined capital requirement is close to 29 times that figure.
Stavely has not said when it will take the project to a pre-feasibility study.
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