
Standard Chartered projects DeFi TVL at $2.7 trillion by 2030, a 37x increase. Geoff Kendrick sees tokenized assets driving the shift, but critics flag liquidity fragmentation as a hurdle.
Standard Chartered published a note on June 16, 2026, projecting the total value locked in decentralized finance will reach $2.7 trillion by the end of 2030. That would be a 37-fold increase from current levels. The bank's analysts point to two drivers: tokenized real-world assets migrating onchain, and crypto-native capital flowing into protocols.
Only about 3% of stablecoins currently circulate in decentralized protocols. Geoff Kendrick, the bank's head of digital assets research, estimates that share of tokenized assets active in DeFi will rise from roughly 3.5% today to 30% by 2030. That implies not just more value onchain but a structural shift in how that value is used.
Tokenized money market funds and tokenized stocks should capture the majority of inflows, Kendrick wrote. The forecast is consistent with Standard Chartered's earlier call that non-stablecoin RWAs would hit $2 trillion by 2028.
Kendrick singled out Uniswap as a natural venue for tokenized asset flows. He cited the protocol's scale, reputation, and track record through multiple crypto cycles. For traditional financial institutions, reliability matters more than short-term yield, and Uniswap meets that bar better than newer protocols, he said.
Not everyone shares the optimism. Chris Kim, CEO of Axis, pointed to fragmented liquidity as a structural problem. Issuing the same asset on multiple blockchains creates price gaps and raises transaction costs, even if aggregate market value rises, Kim said.
Oya Celiktemur, head of sales at Ondo Finance for the EMEA region, made a similar point at Paris Blockchain Week in April. An illiquid asset does not become liquid simply by being tokenized, she said. Those limits deserve attention alongside the growth projections.
The Standard Chartered note sets an ambitious quantified target for the next DeFi cycle. The convergence of institutional adoption, RWA growth, and protocol maturation creates a plausible path. Reaching $2.7 trillion will require concrete solutions on fragmented liquidity, regulatory clarity, and cross-chain interoperability. The potential is real, and so are the obstacles.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.