
Short interest in SpaceX plunged to 11% from 34% as the stock rallied 38% off its low. More lockup expirations in August and September could add volatility.
Short sellers betting against SpaceX are pulling back fast as the newly public stock rallies from its post-IPO trough.
Short interest in SpaceX dropped to about 11% of the company's publicly traded shares Wednesday, down from a peak of 34% last week, according to S3 Partners. The decline reflects both bearish investors closing positions and a sharp expansion of the stock's tradable float after the first major lockup expiration.
"Shorts that wanted to short are out of bullets," said Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3. "Only so much money you can put into a trade."
The retreat came as SpaceX shares bounced from their post-earnings sell-off, with short covering adding to the upward push. Investors closing bearish bets must buy back shares, amplifying gains when a stock is already rising.
Shares jumped 8% Wednesday to around $144, about 7% above the $135 IPO price and roughly 38% above the Aug. 3 low. The stock initially tumbled after SpaceX disclosed in its first earnings report last week that capital expenditures were more than double its revenue, a signal of the enormous spending needed to fund its rocket and satellite ambitions.
That sell-off drew a wave of short sellers, pushing short interest to unusually high levels relative to the stock's limited public float. Short selling involves borrowing shares and selling them, hoping to buy them back later at a lower price.
The math changed last Thursday, when just over 911 million SpaceX shares became eligible for trading after an initial lockup period expired. The newly unlocked tranche represented roughly 7% of shares outstanding and exceeded the 639 million shares sold in the IPO.
The larger float mechanically reduced short interest as a percentage of tradable shares. Short covering also contributed to the decline, S3 said. Investors who had wagered against SpaceX bought back stock to exit.
More supply is coming. On Aug. 20, another 319 million shares could unlock, followed by roughly 700 million in September and close to that in October, according to the prospectus. The additional shares could create fresh volatility as employees and early investors gain more chances to sell. At the same time, a larger float would make it easier for investors to establish new short positions if bearish sentiment returns.
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