
South Korea's adjusted export growth eased to 49.7% in June's first 20 days, still elevated as chip exports surged 188%. The BOK warns that record bonus payouts may spill into broader inflation.
South Korea's export growth slowed slightly in the first 20 days of June, staying at an elevated level as the semiconductor boom continued to power shipments.
Shipments adjusted for working-day differences rose 49.7% from a year earlier, customs data showed Monday. That compared with a 52.6% increase in the same May period. Unadjusted exports jumped 60.4%, while imports climbed 23.2%, producing a trade surplus of $17.5 billion.
Chip exports surged 188.4% from a year earlier, and computer-related product shipments jumped 293.3%. Petroleum product exports also drew support from elevated energy prices. By destination, exports to China rose almost 87%, those to the US increased nearly 54%, and shipments to Taiwan and Vietnam climbed 103.6% and 75.5%, respectively.
The Bank of Korea is watching how the chip upswing transmits through the broader economy. Governor Shin Hyun Song said the boom is filtering through via stronger corporate earnings, consumption and investment. Record bonus payouts at major tech firms could spill into wage growth and consumer spending, complicating the inflation picture, Shin said at a briefing last week. Consumer prices accelerated to 3.1% in May, the fastest in more than two years, reinforcing the central bank's tightening bias.
The sequential dip in the adjusted growth rate – from 52.6% to 49.7% – is a modest pullback in an otherwise torrid trend. For Samsung and SK Hynix, the data supports expectations of another quarter of record operating profits. The risk, flagged by Shin, is that chip-driven wage pressure pushes consumer inflation higher, potentially demanding another rate hike that would tighten financial conditions and weigh on domestic demand.
The full June export data is due next month, before the BOK's next rate decision. For context on how trade figures drive individual stock moves, see AlphaScala's stock market analysis.
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