
OPEC cut its 2026 oil demand growth forecast for the third straight month while raising 2027 estimates, signaling near-term weakness before a later recovery.
OPEC lowered its global oil demand growth forecast for 2026 for the third straight month, while raising its estimates for next year.
The revision comes as the producer group adjusts its outlook amid shifting supply and demand dynamics in the crude market. The latest cut brings the 2026 demand growth projection below the previous month's estimate, reflecting a more cautious view on consumption.
OPEC's monthly report now sees global oil demand rising by a smaller amount this year than it forecast in February and January. The consecutive downgrades mark a shift from the group's earlier, more optimistic stance on demand expansion.
At the same time, OPEC raised its demand growth forecast for 2027, suggesting the group expects a recovery in consumption further out. The split outlook points to near-term weakness followed by a pickup later in the decade.
The revisions come as crude prices have traded in a range, with traders weighing OPEC+ supply cuts against demand concerns from major economies. The group's next scheduled meeting will review production policy for the second half of the year.
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