
Sixth straight session of decline. Nifty 50 down 1.7% over the stretch. Brent crude above $91 after US-Iran ceasefire expires. FIIs pulled ₹2,535 crore. Next support at 24,000.
India's benchmark Nifty 50 closed Tuesday at 24,154.90, down 132.75 points or 0.55%, breaching the 24,200 support that had held for most of the past week. The Sensex settled at 77,235.46, shedding about 0.6%. It was the index's sixth straight losing session, the worst such run in recent weeks, with the Nifty declining 1.7% over the stretch.
Crude oil prices, detailed in our crude oil profile, crossed $91 a barrel after the expiry of a temporary US-Iran ceasefire. Iran hardened its stance and Washington ruled out an extension, pushing Brent to its highest in months. “Investor anxiety increased as hopes for a West Asia resolution faded following the expiration of the temporary US-Iran ceasefire, heightening concerns about renewed inflation,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments.
Foreign institutional investors pulled money out at the heaviest pace in three weeks. They sold equities worth ₹2,535 crore on Monday alone. The US 10-year Treasury yield held around 4.73%, making dollar assets more attractive relative to emerging markets. Dr. V.K. Vijayakumar of Geojit noted that the spike in US bond yields was “slightly negative for the rupee” as FIIs shift money toward risk-free US returns. The rupee weakened 0.15% to about ₹95.68-95.7 to the dollar; the Reserve Bank of India intervened to limit further depreciation.
Sectoral damage was broad. The Nifty IT index fell nearly 2% for the third straight session. Realty, PSU Banks and FMCG also faced sustained selling pressure. Health care and Auto ended higher, with Media also in positive territory. Broader markets showed relative resilience – the Nifty Smallcap 100 ended flat while the Nifty Midcap 100 slipped 0.43%.
WTI crude climbed to around $84 a barrel, and domestic crude futures traded above ₹8,000. Rising energy costs have renewed concerns over India's current account deficit and import bill, even as the June quarter earnings season showed resilient corporate profit growth.
On the structural side, the government approved 31 new investment proposals worth ₹7,877 crore under the Electronics Component Manufacturing Scheme, taking total approved investments to ₹69,548 crore, above the scheme's original ₹59,350 crore target.
Analysts see limited near-term relief. “Elevated crude prices, geopolitical uncertainty and foreign selling are likely to keep near-term sentiment subdued,” said Siddhartha Khemka of Motilal Oswal, adding that resilient domestic fundamentals and policy support could offer a “constructive medium-term backdrop.” Ajit Mishra of Religare Broking flagged 24,000 and then 23,800 as the next support levels on the downside, while cautioning that 24,250 would be the first hurdle on any recovery.
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