
Natural gas rose after a smaller-than-expected storage build. WTI and Brent bounced on the U.S.-Iran deal, but the 60-day negotiation window keeps supply risk alive.
Natural gas futures rose Thursday after a smaller-than-expected storage build. The Energy Information Administration said working gas inventories increased by 73 Bcf in the week ended June 16, versus the 75 Bcf analysts had forecast. Stocks are now 29 Bcf below the same week last year and 151 Bcf above the five-year average.
Gas is testing resistance at $3.20-$3.25 on the spot contract. A break above that zone would open the path to the recent highs near $3.40-$3.45, the highest print since mid-May. Support sits at $3.00-$3.05, with a deeper floor near $2.80 if prices crack the round number.
The natural gas market has been grinding higher since late May, helped by strong power-burn demand and lower production. The storage miss Tuesday provided a fresh catalyst for longs. Read more on the natural gas market.
Oil markets rebounded after a multi-day sell-off that knocked WTI crude below $74. The bounce follows late‑Wednesday news that the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding. Shipping has started returning to the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S. lifted its naval blockade of Iranian ports, though American vessels remain nearby to monitor behavior. The nations agreed to discuss a comprehensive peace deal for 60 days, with negotiations covering Iran’s nuclear program and its demand to charge tolls for passage through the strait.
“Nuclear negotiation demands involvement of technical experts who must find solutions to complex problems,” the report said. “Political will alone would not be sufficient.” The timeline could stretch beyond 60 days, according to U.S. signals.
WTI crude is trading near $76 after bouncing from the $73.50 area. The first resistance is $76.50-$77.00; a clean break above that band would target $81.00-$81.50. On the downside, a move below recent lows near $73.50 would expose the $70.50-$71.00 support zone.
Brent crude also recovered, pushing back above $80. The psychological level was tested Thursday. Resistance is $81.00-$81.50; clearing that would give the contract room to extend the bounce. The Iran deal framework is the dominant near‑term catalyst, and traders are watching implementation details. See the Dollar Index surge that preceded the deal for context on the broader macro setup.
Both crude benchmarks had fallen hard on Tuesday on fears of increased Iranian supply. The interim deal reduces the immediate risk of a supply‑side shock from a blockade, the market remains cautious on the 60‑day negotiation window. A failure to extend talks or a breakdown in technical discussions on enrichment could reintroduce supply risk. For now, the bounce is a positioning-driven snapback, not a fundamental re-rating. Traders will watch the weekly EIA crude inventory data next Wednesday for confirmation of demand trends.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.