
Natural gas held $2.75 as weak demand and oversupply kept prices pinned, with Qatari imports the only potential catalyst later in the year.
Natural gas hovered near $2.75 on Tuesday, a level that has shifted between minor support and resistance during a seasonal period of tepid consumption. The front-month contract settled at $2.75 on Monday, unchanged from the prior week, reflecting a market caught between lingering oversupply and a lack of weather-driven demand.
Heating demand has faded with the end of winter, and summer cooling demand has not materialized because no sustained heatwave has emerged in major consuming regions, said Chris, a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience. The supply glut, built during a mild winter, continues to hang over the market.
A possible source of support lies in Qatar's decision to import US liquefied natural gas. Qatar is buying from the US to fulfill its supply obligations to Europe after disruptions at its own production facilities, the trader noted. The effect on US prices would be indirect and take months to materialize. It remains one of the few potential catalysts on the horizon.
Above $2.75, resistance clusters near the $3.00 level and the 200-day moving average. The lack of an immediate demand trigger limits upside.
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