
Natural gas rose to $2.92 after holding key support. A breakout above $2.93 would confirm a bullish reversal, with targets at $2.98 and $3.13. Traders watch for a sustained move.
Natural gas rose to $2.92 on Wednesday, its highest in four days, after holding a support zone that had been tested repeatedly over the previous week. The move broke a three-day range and pushed the contract to the second-highest level in eight sessions.
The rally came after a period of consolidation that formed a broadening pattern, with price swings widening rather than compressing. Such patterns can produce sharp reversals after a breakout, making confirmation important. Wednesday's high sits just below the $2.93 level, a swing high from last week that also marks the top of the recent decline.
A close above $2.93 would signal a weekly reversal and open the path toward $2.98, the next lower swing high. That area could be reinforced by the 20-day moving average, which is declining and may converge with that level by the time price reaches it. Above that, the 50-day moving average near $3.13 becomes the next target. That average had acted as support during the prior advance and would now serve as resistance.
The support zone held. Buyers stepped in near a confluence of technical indicators. The broadening pattern means a false breakout is possible. Traders will watch for a sustained move above $2.93 to confirm the bullish case.
The setup mirrors the positioning dynamics flagged in an earlier analysis of natural gas shorts. Natural Gas: 207K Shorts Face Heat Test as Front-Month Holds Support
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