
Natural gas fell Tuesday on a supply glut and weak demand. Traders eye the April gap fill; Qatar's LNG flows to Europe could tighten winter supplies.
Natural gas futures slipped in early trading Tuesday, pressured by a persistent supply glut and weak seasonal demand, traders said. The front-month September contract moved lower, with traders describing the price action as typical of the shoulder season when weather-driven demand is minimal.
The gap on the chart from late April remains a subject of discussion. Some traders said the contract could test that level in the absence of a fresh catalyst. The lack of extreme weather and stable supply have kept the market range-bound, they added.
One factor under the radar is Qatar's recent pattern of importing U.S. LNG to meet its European delivery commitments, a practice that has been ongoing in recent months, traders noted. Should disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz resume, that could add to winter supply tightness, some market participants said.
On the supply side, storage levels remain elevated relative to seasonal norms, contributing to the bearish sentiment, traders said. Demand has been muted, traders said. Temperatures across the U.S. have been warm but have not triggered significant cooling demand, they added.
The lack of conviction has led to a market where rallies are quickly sold, traders said. The September contract has struggled to sustain gains above recent resistance levels, they added.
The weekly storage report from the Energy Information Administration, due Thursday, will provide the next concrete read on supply-demand balances.
For further analysis of natural gas positioning, see Natural Gas: 207K Shorts Face Heat Test as Front-Month Holds Support.
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