
LeBron James joins the 76ers, pushing their title odds into the top tier. Oklahoma City and San Antonio remain the consensus favorites, with New York and Boston close behind.
LeBron James is joining the Philadelphia 76ers. The team's championship odds jumped sharply across sportsbooks and prediction markets on Saturday. Oklahoma City and San Antonio remain the consensus favorites, according to most books.
Eight different franchises have won the last eight NBA titles, a stretch of parity unmatched in league history. The Knicks' championship run last month extended that streak. Now Philadelphia joins the mix. Oddsmakers have installed the 76ers as co-third choice alongside defending champion New York, with the Thunder and Spurs ahead of them.
Oklahoma City is led by two-time MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a proven core. San Antonio has unanimous Defensive Player of the Year Victor Wembanyama at the center of a young team that took big strides last season. Both are clear favorites to win the Western Conference, according to the average of current odds.
James' decision pushed Philadelphia into the upper tier, not to the top. The Knicks and 76ers hold the third- and fourth-best odds, their order varying by sportsbook. Bettors are also high on Boston. The Celtics traded Jaylen Brown to Philadelphia this summer and are the clear No. 5 choice, according to most books.
Below that, the odds tighten. Denver, Toronto, Minnesota, Detroit and Cleveland are clustered together. Toronto stands out: betting markets expect the Raptors to eventually close a trade for Kawhi Leonard, bringing back the key to their 2019 title run. Miami is the next team in line for a top-10 spot, with odds reflecting the expectation that Giannis Antetokounmpo will pair with Bam Adebayo to return the Heat to the playoffs.
Even without James, the Lakers are still expected to make the playoffs. Luka Doncic's team has solid odds. Indiana, which lost Tyrese Haliburton to injury last season and fell to the bottom of the league, is also projected to return. Houston and Golden State round out the top 15, suggesting bettors see those clubs as postseason-bound.
Further down the board, Atlanta, Orlando and Portland sit in the next tier. The Wizards have Trae Young, Anthony Davis and Khris Middleton, plus the No. 1 pick AJ Dybantsa. Washington is projected as a play-in candidate, alongside Phoenix, Charlotte, Dallas and Utah.
Value bettors can find long odds on the Los Angeles Clippers, New Orleans, Chicago, Memphis, Milwaukee, Brooklyn and Sacramento. The oddsmakers offer a reminder: there is always a surprise. Charlotte won 44 games last season after being near the bottom of preseason lists. Detroit did the same the season before.
Based on the average of current odds, the playoff picture would look like this. East: New York, Philadelphia, Boston, Toronto, Detroit, Cleveland, Miami, Indiana. West: Oklahoma City, San Antonio, Denver, Minnesota, Los Angeles Lakers, Houston, Golden State, Portland.
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