
Jumbo Interactive raised FY26 EBITDA guidance to A$82-85 million on a stronger Dream US contribution, while trimming Dream UK expectations ahead of a founder transition.
Jumbo Interactive (ASX: JIN) has raised its group earnings guidance for the 2026 financial year after a bigger-than-expected contribution from its recently bought Dream Giveaway business in the United States.
The digital lottery and prize-draw operator now expects underlying EBITDA of A$82 million to A$85 million, growth of 20% to 24% from FY25. Underlying net profit after tax before amortisation of acquired intangibles is forecast at A$48 million to A$50 million, up 13% to 18%.
The upgraded group outlook includes a sharp increase in guidance for Dream US, partly offset by lower expectations for Dream Car Giveaways in the United Kingdom.
Dream US is now expected to contribute underlying EBITDA of US$5.2 million to US$5.5 million for the eight months from the October 2025 acquisition closing. The range is well above the prior forecast of US$2.7 million to US$3 million. The business expanded to 29 prize draws in FY26 from 16 in the prior corresponding period. Changes to draw timing after the acquisition also helped.
Dream UK carries a lower outlook of £7 million to £7.3 million for the part of FY26 Jumbo will recognise. The prior range was £8 million to £8.3 million. The reduction reflects higher investment during the transition from the business's founders, new market testing, and seasonal trading patterns. Jumbo still expects that division to deliver annualised growth of roughly 20% to 25% on the £8.3 million it earned in the 12 months through April 2025. A new Dream UK head will start in July to manage the leadership transition ahead of the founders' planned departure by December 2026.
Jumbo's Australian operations remain on track for an EBITDA margin of 46% to 50%, unchanged. The UK managed services division is set for EBITDA growth of about 10%, at the lower end of its prior 10% to 15% range. Higher-than-expected lottery jackpots weighed on the UK result, though cost discipline helped offset part of the hit.
Canadian managed services guidance rose sharply to EBITDA growth of 35% to 45%, from the earlier 20% to 25%. New business wins, product investment, and favourable campaign timing drove the upgrade.
For readers tracking the small-cap space, Jumbo's split across three geographies and two business models – consumer prize draws and lottery technology services – means the US acquisition is the variable that changes the stock's earnings story. Dream US is now the growth engine. The more modest Dream UK guidance and the steady-state Australian margin keep the rest of the portfolio roughly where it was.
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