
India's Sensex and Nifty surged 1.5% as Brent crude collapsed 4.6% to $83.36 on a US-Iran peace deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Energy importers and aviation led gains.
Indian stock indices jumped more than 1.5% in early trading Monday after the US and Iran finalized a peace deal ending 107 days of war and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude fell 4.55% to $83.36 a barrel, its lowest since the conflict began.
The BSE Sensex climbed 1,112 points to 76,648, while the NSE Nifty rose 335 points to 23,956. Among Sensex components, InterGlobe Aviation, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, UltraTech Cement, and Larsen & Toubro posted the largest gains. Sun Pharma was the sole decliner.
India imports about 85% of its crude oil requirements, so a sustained drop in Brent below $85 cuts fuel costs for airlines, reduces input expenses for paint and tyre companies, and improves the fiscal math on subsidies. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz removes the supply risk premium that had added roughly $5 to $7 a barrel during the war, traders said. InterGlobe Aviation rose the most among Sensex stocks: jet fuel accounts for roughly 35 to 40% of an airline's operating cost, and a $10 drop in Brent typically trims fuel expense by about 3% for Indian carriers.
V K Vijayakumar, chief investment strategist at Geojit Investments, said the peace deal and the resulting oil correction improve the outlook for the Indian economy and equity market.
"With the dawn of peace in West Asia, hopefully, and the consequent sharp correction in Brent crude to below $84 in early trade, the prospects for the Indian economy and stock market have turned for the better."
Despite the rally, foreign institutional investors sold Rs 1,082 crore of equities on Friday, exchange data showed. That suggests the jump Monday was driven largely by domestic institutions and short covering, not fresh foreign inflows. A sustained rally will need FII participation to return.
In Asia, South Korea's Kospi surged nearly 6% and Japan's Nikkei 225 rose more than 5%. Chinese markets also advanced. US stocks closed higher Friday.
The peace agreement is scheduled to be signed June 19 in Switzerland. Until then, crude may consolidate around $83 to $85 as markets assess whether the truce holds and how quickly traffic resumes through Hormuz.
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