
Only two vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz Wednesday. Iran's top negotiator accused Trump of 'theater diplomacy.' Saudi Arabia braces for coordinated attacks. Oil rose 1.3%.
Iran's chief negotiator accused President Donald Trump of staging "theater diplomacy" on Thursday. The two countries gave conflicting accounts of bilateral engagement. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to a near standstill.
"'Massive attack coming … wait, never mind, they want to negotiate.' That's theater diplomacy on loop," parliament speaker and top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf wrote on X. The post appeared to mock Trump.
Trump had called off planned strikes days earlier. He said the outlines of a deal with Tehran were settled. Iranian officials rejected that claim, saying no talks were underway.
Only two vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, down from eight a day earlier, according to Kpler vessel-tracking data. The pre-war baseline was roughly 130 to 140 daily transits. Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb collapsed to a single dry bulk carrier, from 20 vessels the previous day.
Oil prices rose after reports that Iran plans to bar U.S. and Israeli ships from Hormuz. Brent crude futures for October delivery gained 1.3% to $83.55 a barrel. September WTI crude futures rose about 1.1% to $78.17. The move reversed an earlier slide driven by optimism that a Hormuz deal was days away.
Iran plans to bar U.S. and Israeli ships from the Strait of Hormuz under a draft plan with Oman for managing the waterway, Tehran's semi-official Fars news agency reported Thursday. Restrictions would extend to countries that have "caused damage" to Iran, until compensation is paid. Iran also plans to impose penalties of up to 20% of the value of cargo for violators.
Regional officials said earlier that Iran and Oman were close to finalizing a framework covering inbound traffic via Iranian territorial waters and outbound traffic through a route closer to Oman. The arrangement would not automatically reopen the waterway.
The conflict is broadening. Saudi Arabia is bracing for "multiple coordinated attacks" by Iraqi militia factions working with Iran-backed Houthis, a Saudi official told CNN. Intelligence reports indicated the groups planned to strike the kingdom "in the very near future" under guidance from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The warning came a day after the Houthis claimed responsibility for attacks on two Saudi oil tankers in the Gulf of Aden.
In a Truth Social post Thursday, Trump pushed back on reports that U.S. munitions stocks have been depleted. "The U.S. has massive amounts of 'munitions,' especially of certain types," he said, vowing "long-term jail sentences" for leakers. CNN reported later that Trump acknowledged in the Oval Office that certain munitions are in "tighter" supply, while insisting less-advanced weapons remain in virtually unlimited supply.
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