
Climate peril severity rose 93% since 2019, pushing P&C insurers to deploy AI for risk modeling. LexisNexis and Fathom detail how visual-language models improve property inspections and flood simulations.
The rising severity of climate perils is forcing property and casualty insurers to adopt artificial intelligence for risk modeling, with LexisNexis reporting loss severity climbed almost 26% from 2024 and more than 93% compared to 2019.
Severity hit its highest level in seven years across all perils, according to LexisNexis's latest home trends report. While loss costs dropped by over 4% in 2025 and claims frequency fell nearly 24% from the prior year, the firm's analysts warned that the frequency decline should not be expected to continue. The number of billion-dollar weather events and storms is rising.
The key to keeping peril costs in check is how carriers apply technology, said George Hosfield, vice president and general manager of home insurance at LexisNexis Risk Solutions. Because perils vary by season and year to year, carriers need granular property intelligence to understand both by-peril and macro-level trends, he said.
AI models using visual language are improving digital self-inspection tools for evaluating home preparedness and risk-hardening measures, according to Hosfield and Kelly Rush, director of home insurance at LexisNexis. The models interpret image-based information and apply it to risk evaluation.
"Technology is increasingly being used to identify property-level issues before a loss occurs," Hosfield and Rush wrote in an email. "Digital self-inspection gives insurers a more cost-effective way to gather detailed information about a property's condition and surrounding risk factors."
AI is becoming more suited to evaluating visual information about property risk, according to Chris Lucas, principal machine learning engineer at Fathom, a climate risk data provider specializing in flood data.
"Machine learning AI is very good at spotting patterns that we wouldn't be able to spot," Lucas said. "If we give it lots of examples of terrain, it would be able to tell the difference in ways in which we simply couldn't. It enables us to zoom in on areas and produce much higher resolution simulations."
The technology push comes as carriers grapple with a structural shift in loss severity that predates the 2025 frequency dip. LexisNexis data shows severity rose steadily over the seven-year period tracked in the report, with the 2024-2025 jump accelerating the trend.
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