
Graduate unemployment near 40% and a glut of applicants for scarce secure jobs fuel protests after medical exam leak. Economists warn of demographic burden.
Thousands of students took to the streets in Delhi and Bengaluru in July after a leaked paper forced a retest of India's medical entrance exam. Police fired tear gas. A satirical youth movement called the Cockroach Janta Party went viral.
The exam scandal was the trigger. The underlying anger runs deeper.
Graduate unemployment among 15-to-25-year-olds sits near 40%, according to the State of Working India 2026 report. Graduates made up two-thirds of the country's unemployed in 2023. India produces roughly 5 million graduates a year. Only 2.8 million find jobs, the same report showed. Secure, well-paid work is scarce.
For millions of young Indians, the path to a stable career runs through a handful of ultra-competitive entrance exams – the NEET for medicine, the JEE for Indian Institutes of Technology, the UPSC for civil services. The number of NEET applicants rose 50% between 2019 and 2026, to over 2.2 million, National Testing Agency data show.
“In a country where nearly one in two graduates is not getting a job, young people are choosing routes like the NEET that guarantee one,” Neelanjan Sircar, an associate professor at Ahmedabad University, told CNBC.
The competition creates immense pressure. More than 20 students died by suicide after the May leak, according to local reports. Even scoring well does not guarantee a place. Seventeen-year-old Dimpy Gola took the NEET twice this year and did not score high enough for a medical college seat. She plans a gap year and another try. “Even with a master's and a PhD, my prospects would be uncertain,” she said.
The jobs problem has been building for years. Higher education expanded rapidly after 2004. Job creation lagged. Alex Hermann Prasad, lead economist at Oxford Economics, told CNBC the root cause is the limited supply of “secure, well-paid jobs.”
Prime Minister Narendra Modi inherited these structural challenges when he took office in 2014. His political appeal rested on promises of economic transformation and better employment. Progress has been uneven, economists said. India's shift from agriculture into manufacturing has been slower than hoped.
Bernstein, in an April report, noted that nearly 45% of the workforce remains in agriculture, contributing just 15% to 16% of GDP. Manufacturing's share of the economy has barely budged. The report also warned that artificial intelligence could eventually threaten India's IT services and business process outsourcing sectors, another traditional source of upward mobility.
Aditi Garg, a 24-year-old graphic designer in Bengaluru, told CNBC she applied to “countless” jobs last year. Companies pay “peanuts,” she said, because “there are always a hundred other people” desperate enough to do the work for less. She joined the Bengaluru offshoot of the student protests.
Abheet Mohanty, a 27-year-old in Mumbai, landed a communications job after failing the NEET in 2018. His monthly salary of 20,000 rupees ($208) drew criticism from his parents, who called it “unsustainable” in Mumbai. He joined the protests in July.
Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan resigned after the protests. Modi appointed a new minister, Pralhad Joshi, and created a task force headed by tech entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the education system.
On Thursday, parliament passed a bill to amend the anti-paper leak law, imposing stricter penalties – up to 10 years in prison and a fine of up to 50 lakh rupees.
Twenty-one-year-old Arshia Mathur from Delhi attended the July 20 protest despite being “apolitical.” She graduated with an English Honors degree. She feels “nervous” and “skeptical” about finding work. “I have applied to a lot of roles. No one responds,” she said. Her college seniors have the same experience.
Without faster job creation, India's much-celebrated demographic dividend could become a demographic burden, economists warn. The country has the world's largest Gen Z population. It also faces one of its toughest employment challenges.
“The promise of upward mobility has not materialized for many educated young Indians,” Prasad said. “More will need to be done to prevent the demographic dividend from becoming a demographic burden.”
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