
India holds $5 trillion in idle gold. A revived monetisation scheme using jewellers as intermediaries could cut import bills and ease rupee pressure.
India holds an estimated $5 trillion worth of gold in households and temples. It still spends billions importing more each year. With the rupee under pressure and the trade deficit widening, the government is looking at a familiar fix: reviving the Gold Monetisation Scheme, this time with jewellers as the channel.
The stock of idle gold is staggering. Roughly 25,000 tonnes sit in private hands, outside the banking system, earning nothing. India imports about 800 tonnes of gold annually, a bill that runs past $30 billion and strains the current account. Every dollar spent on imported gold is a dollar that does not flow into productive investment.
The old Gold Monetisation Scheme, launched in 2015, never took off. Households could deposit gold with banks, earn interest, and get it back at maturity. The problem was practical: banks had no infrastructure to assay, store, or liquidate the metal. The scheme collected barely 10 tonnes in its first three years.
The new push changes the intermediary. Jewellers would act as collection agents, accepting gold deposits and issuing certificates that banks recognise. The jeweller gets working capital at a lower cost than borrowing from a bank. The depositor earns interest without losing ownership. The central bank gets a domestic source of gold that reduces import dependence.
The mechanism matters for the rupee. Every tonne of gold mobilised domestically is a tonne that does not need to be imported. At current prices, replacing 100 tonnes of imports would save roughly $7 billion in foreign exchange. That is not trivial for a currency that has been sliding against the dollar.
The trade-off is execution risk. Jewellers are not banks. They lack standardised assay procedures, and the history of gold-backed instruments in India includes fraud. The Reserve Bank of India would need to set clear rules on purity verification, storage, and redemption. Without that, the scheme risks repeating the 2015 outcome.
For the gold market, the implications are structural. A functioning monetisation channel would reduce India's dependence on Swiss and UAE refineries. It would also create a domestic price-discovery mechanism for scrap gold, which currently trades at a discount to international benchmarks because of opacity in the recycling chain.
The government has not set a timeline. The combination of a weak rupee, a widening trade deficit, and a $5 trillion stock of dormant gold makes the arithmetic hard to ignore. The question is whether the execution can match the ambition.
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