
India's Sensex fell to 76,391, its fourth straight decline. Brent crude topped $96 a barrel after the Strait of Hormuz closure. Positive Q1 earnings offer some support. The oil shock still dominates.
The Sensex dropped for a fourth straight session on Thursday, closing at 76,391. Brent crude topped $96 a barrel after the Strait of Hormuz shut again. The closure followed continued US strikes on Iran and Iranian counterattacks on US facilities in the Gulf, the Mint editorial board wrote.
India imports most of its oil. A sustained price above $96 would swell the import bill and renew pressure on the rupee, the board said. That spillover weighs on businesses and explains the subdued stock market sentiment.
There is a positive note. April-June earnings for India Inc were encouraging, the board noted. Bank lending is showing buoyancy, which could signal a broader economic pickup.
Conditions are looking up. The war in West Asia needs to end for associated uncertainties to lift, the board wrote. Until then, the oil price remains the key variable for Indian stocks.
For context on how lower oil prices have helped the rupee in the past, see Rupee Gains as Oil Slips, Easing Pressure on India's Trade Deficit.
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