
Sensex opens at 77,892, Nifty at 24,343. Metals mixed while oil's rally tests import costs. Analysts flag 24,000–24,600 as the near-term range for the Nifty.
Indian equity markets opened lower Monday as Brent crude held near $89 a barrel and Middle East tensions showed no sign of easing. The Nifty 50 slipped 0.27% to 24,299.15, while the Sensex fell 0.39% to 77,704.02, extending last week's decline.
Oil prices rose 5% last week. Brent crude traded around $88.6 a barrel in early Asian hours. India imports roughly 85% of its crude requirements, so a sustained rally in oil prices directly pressures import costs, the current account deficit, and the rupee. The rupee was near 95.6 against the dollar.
Among Nifty 50 stocks, metals were mixed. Hindalco rose 1.17% to ₹1,041.50. JSW Steel fell 1.36% to ₹1,252.70. The metal sector as a whole lost 1.8% last week. ONGC edged up 0.34% to ₹237.20.
Eicher Motors gained 0.98% to ₹8,145.50, and Mahindra & Mahindra rose 0.46% to ₹3,444. On the losing side, Dr Reddy's Laboratories fell 1.09% to ₹1,186.90, State Bank of India dropped 0.99% to ₹1,057.10, and TCS declined 0.94% to ₹2,338.70.
Rajesh Palviya, Head of Research at Axis Direct, said a sustained recovery would require the Nifty to reclaim 24,550, with immediate support at 24,250 and 24,080. He added that any cooling in crude prices could improve sentiment.
VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments, said the market is "likely to continue in the range of 24,000–24,600 in the near-term till some triggers emerge to break the range," adding that crude above $89 is likely to cap any uptrend. On IT, he said mid-cap names are outperforming large caps. In pharma, he pointed to a shift away from traditional large pharmaceutical companies toward CDMO, hospitals and diagnostics firms.
Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Equity Research at Kotak Securities, said that if the market holds above 24,200 or 77,500 on the Sensex, a technical bounce could push the Nifty to 24,500–24,700 and the Sensex to 78,400–79,000.
Asian markets were mixed. Japan's Nikkei traded marginally lower after second-quarter GDP growth missed expectations. South Korean markets were closed for Liberation Day. US markets retreated Friday after retail sales fell 0.6% month-on-month in July against expectations of a 0.1% rise. The Fed's July meeting minutes are due Wednesday, a key data point for global markets and capital flows into emerging economies.
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