
Nuvama expects India's ACC demand to grow 39% CAGR to 700 GWh by 2030, with BESS demand rising 78% annually. The shift to LFP chemistry will reshape materials demand.
India's demand for advanced chemistry cells will grow at a compound annual rate of 39% between 2025 and 2030, reaching roughly 700 GWh by the end of the decade, Nuvama said in a research report. The brokerage expects the country to move from a net importer of battery materials toward a domestic supply chain.
EV battery demand alone will rise about 35% a year over that period, Nuvama said. Battery energy storage systems, or BESS, will be the fastest-growing application at a 78% CAGR through 2030. Global ACC demand growth is seen around 20% annually in the same window, slowing to roughly 8% from 2030 to 2035.
The government's ₹18,100 crore Production Linked Incentive scheme for ACC batteries targets 50 GWh of domestic cell manufacturing capacity. More than 10 manufacturers have announced roughly 178 GWh of additional capacity, creating downstream demand for battery chemicals and materials. The National Critical Mineral Mission is meant to support domestic exploration, processing and recycling of lithium, nickel, cobalt and graphite, Nuvama noted.
Lithium iron phosphate will remain the dominant chemistry globally, the brokerage said, pointing to its lower cost and longer cycle life, combined with better safety. The shift toward LFP supports demand for iron phosphate, graphite, conductive carbon black, carbon nanotubes and electrolyte materials. It also moderates long-term cobalt demand growth.
India's battery-materials value chain sits at different stages of development. Critical minerals are still largely imported. Cathode and anode materials are seeing rising domestic capacity. So are electrolytes and conductive additives. Cell manufacturing is expanding quickly. Emerging technologies such as silicon-carbon anodes, LMFP, sodium-ion and solid-state batteries could become future growth areas, the report said.
The 2025-2030 window represents a critical build-out phase for domestic manufacturers, Nuvama's projections suggest. The brokerage said India's energy transition, rising EV adoption and expansion of renewable storage infrastructure could create a long-term opportunity for domestic battery chemicals and materials manufacturers.
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