
Trump said the U.S. moved millions of barrels through Hormuz without Iran's knowledge, crediting the flow for crude below $100. The claim reshapes tanker risk and oil supply calculus.
President Donald Trump said Wednesday that the U.S. has secretly moved millions of barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, a disclosure he credits for crude prices staying below $100 a barrel. “We've been taking out millions of barrels of oil. Nobody knows it. You know who doesn't know about it? Iran, until right now,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. He added that the oil moved late at night on 22 ships with no lights, taking advantage of destroyed radar systems.
The claim follows a report from Lloyd's List Intelligence last week that dozens of ships stranded in the Persian Gulf have exited through Hormuz amid quiet coordination with the U.S. Navy. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Tuesday that oil exports through the strait are “rising very meaningfully,” without giving details. A defense official told CNBC that U.S. forces are communicating with ships seeking safe transit but are not escorting them.
If the clandestine flow is real and sustainable, it changes the supply calculus for a waterway that carries about 20% of the world's crude. The market had been pricing a persistent disruption risk after weeks of tit-for-tat strikes between U.S. forces and Iran. An exchange of fire last week began when three drones were launched toward “civilian mariners that were rightfully transiting regional waters,” according to U.S. Central Command. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Congress that the U.S. is responding to Iranian attacks on commercial ships and that Iran's drones could hit any part of a vessel, risking an ecological disaster. “If they don't shoot at those ships, we don't shoot but we have to respond,” Rubio said.
The question for traders is whether the market had already discounted a wider reopening of Hormuz. Brent crude has traded in a $70-$80 range in recent weeks, partly reflecting expectations that the U.S. would keep the strait open by force. Trump's comments suggest the reopening has been happening quietly for some time. That would mean the risk premium built into crude is thinner than many assume – unless Iran responds by escalating attacks.
The practical read-through comes down to two things: tanker tracking and insurance costs. If AIS data confirms a sustained rise in Hormuz transits, the premium on crude and on tanker rates should fade further. If, instead, Iran views the secret movement as a provocation, the conflict risk rises, and with it the cost of insuring a voyage through the strait.
For a deeper look at oil supply dynamics and price drivers, see the crude oil profile.
U.S. Central Command said the latest exchange began when three drones were launched toward commercial vessels. Rubio warned that any major spill from a tanker hit could produce an environmental disaster in the Gulf. The tension is unresolved.
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