
Renewed Hormuz missile strikes after a ceasefire expired, plus an 8.2% Samsung slide, dominated Asia FX. USD/JPY dropped under 162 as oil firmed modestly. The Fed minutes are next.
Renewed violence in the Strait of Hormuz overshadowed the session. Iran's military fired at least two missiles at commercial vessels transiting the waterway Monday night, according to U.S. officials cited by Axios and N12. The attack came just after a one-week agreement between Washington and Tehran to halt strikes in the strait had lapsed. That raises the risk that the broader memorandum of understanding signed less than three weeks ago could unravel entirely.
Britain's maritime trade operation said it had received a report of a tanker travelling south near the Omani coast being struck by an unknown projectile, sparking a fire. A separate commercial vessel was also hit by a missile. Both ships suffered significant damage but there were no reported casualties. A loaded LNG tanker was also reported struck and set ablaze east of Musandam, though this detail remains unconfirmed. Talks between the U.S. and Iran in Doha last week had already ended with little progress on the strait issue, and markets are now bracing for a possible U.S. response.
Oil prices firmed modestly on the news. The relatively contained reaction suggests traders are weighing the disruption risk against the fact that no major shipping route has been blocked yet. Gold eased from a two-week high as the dollar held steady ahead of the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes, due later in the day. Those minutes will offer clues on new Chair Kevin Warsh's policy approach.
Equity markets told their own story. South Korea's KOSPI led the regional decline after Samsung Electronics slid 8.2%. The move came despite Samsung's preliminary second-quarter operating profit beating estimates. Revenue landed in the middle of the analyst range. The outlook included provisions for employee bonuses equivalent to 10.5% of business performance earnings. Some analysts pointed to increased volatility from leveraged ETFs as a factor behind the scale of the selloff. That explanation is worth treating with caution given how quickly narratives around Samsung and the memory cycle have shifted recently. The Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng were also softer, though by less than the Nikkei and KOSPI. U.S. equity futures traded mixed, with the Nasdaq underperforming. Memory names Sandisk and Micron both fell after-hours in the wake of Samsung's figures.
The unconfirmed report of an LNG tanker being hit adds a supply risk premium to the sector. Cheniere Energy shares are watched in the U.S. session for any spillover to the LNG stock page.
In currencies, USD/JPY dropped back under 162.00. The yen's rebound suggests the risk-off tone from the Middle East and a disinflationary signal from the White House combined to weigh on the dollar. Other major pairs remained rangebound.
Adding a modestly disinflationary note to the session, President Trump said in a social media post that Walmart had agreed to lower prices on many of its products. The announcement is likely to further temper expectations for near-term Fed rate hikes, providing another channel of dollar weakness beyond the geopolitical headlines.
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