
Traffic dropped 90% from pre-attack levels to a five-day average of 13 vessels. Iran says the strait stays shut until its demands are met, including sanctions relief and troop withdrawals.
Iranian officials are pushing back on President Donald Trump's claim that the U.S. has "total control" over the Strait of Hormuz, even as vessel traffic through the waterway dropped to its lowest level in nearly three months.
On Wednesday, Iran's Persian Strait Gulf Authority said in a post on X that "Claims and repeated posts by U.S. officials that the Strait of Hormuz is no longer blocked do not change the reality: the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and will not be reopened until Iran's conditions are accepted."
That response came after Trump posted on Truth Social that "The U.S.A. has total control over the Strait of Hormuz. I THINK WE WILL KEEP IT!"
The dueling claims mask a sharp decline in actual transits. Ship traffic through the strait averaged five-day volume of about 13 vessels on Tuesday, near the lowest level since May 12, according to CNBC's analysis of data from trade intelligence firm Kpler. That figure includes all vessel types from cargo ships to oil tankers.
Before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28, roughly 130 ships passed through daily. Current volumes are about 90% lower than that baseline.
Both sides have hardened their negotiating positions. Iran's Supreme National Security Council laid out sweeping conditions over the weekend for reopening the strait, including an end to the U.S. naval blockade, sanctions relief, American troop withdrawals and war reparations.
Mohammad Reza Naqdi, a top advisor to the commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, told PBS in an interview stateside Tuesday that "victory is on our side" and that "we have also seen how the American military is weaker than what we perceived." He described Washington's shifting objectives over the course of the conflict, including plans to invade Kharg Island and open the strait. "We saw confusion and bewilderment in America. It became a war without a strategy. Every two or three days, they announced a new objective," Naqdi said.
When asked whether the plan was to drag the conflict out until Trump leaves office, Naqdi said the goal was for Iran to "attain deterrence." Prolonging the conflict and causing attrition, he said, would create a cost structure for anyone considering an attack on Iran.
Kpler's data showed traffic through the strait has not recovered since late May. The 90% drop in ship movements has disrupted crude oil shipments, containerised goods and LNG flows through the chokepoint that handles about 20% of the world's oil supply.
– CNBC's Spencer Kimball and Deena Zaidi contributed to this report.
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