
New listings in the GTA plunged 17.8% in July while sales edged down just 0.9%, tightening the market and raising the odds of price stabilization this fall.
TORONTO – Greater Toronto Area home sellers pulled back hard in July. New listings fell 17.8% from a year earlier, while sales slipped just 0.9%, the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board said Wednesday. That left buyers chasing fewer options, a shift that could put a floor under prices after a year of declines.
The average selling price landed at $1,003,956, down 4.5% from July 2025. The MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark fell 4.6%. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, the benchmark edged up from June, while the average price dipped slightly.
Active buyers are finding less room to negotiate, said TRREB President Daniel Steinfeld. “If current trends continue, home prices could start to level off compared to last year,” he said. Steinfeld pointed to uncertainty around tariffs, inflation and borrowing costs as reasons many would-be buyers are staying on the sidelines.
TRREB Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer struck a more optimistic note. “The latest readings on economic growth and jobs surprised to the upside,” he said. That could bolster consumer confidence and prompt an uptick in purchases, especially if prices stabilize through the fall, Mercer added.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, July sales rose from June while listings fell, meaning the tightening accelerated during the summer. The sales-to-new-listings ratio – a key measure of market balance – climbed, though TRREB did not disclose the exact figure in the release.
TRREB CEO John DiMichele used the data to push for municipal policy changes. “Restrictive zoning, outdated rules, high taxes and fees, and approval delays are making housing more expensive,” he said. DiMichele called those issues “key” in the upcoming municipal election.
The board, which represents nearly 70,000 real estate professionals, reported 5,995 sales through its MLS system in July, versus 6,049 a year earlier. The 0.9% decline was modest compared with the double-digit drops seen in some recent months.
Sellers appear to be waiting for firmer footing. New listings of 14,484 were the lowest for any July since at least 2020, according to TRREB data. The combination of stable demand and shrinking supply has historically preceded price stabilization in the GTA market.
Borrowing costs remain a wild card. The Bank of Canada has cut its policy rate three times this year, but mortgage rates have not fallen as fast as some expected. Steinfeld said more clarity on inflation and trade policy would help unlock demand.
For now, the market is in a holding pattern. Buyers are cautious, sellers are scarce, and prices are drifting sideways. The fall season will test whether the tightening is enough to end the correction.
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