
Greenspan's death renews the contrast with Rothbard: ambition led him to abandon gold standard and bailout principles for power. A lesson in conviction vs. expediency.
Alan Greenspan died at 100. Murray Rothbard, born the same year, died in 1995. Rothbard kept his principles. Greenspan did not.
Greenspan learned economics from Arthur Burns at Columbia. Burns was an empiricist who stressed data over theory. From him, Greenspan absorbed the view that financial markets drive the business cycle. Stock prices push corporate investment, and that investment fuels booms and busts. Sebastian Mallaby, in his biography The Man Who Knew, writes that Greenspan arrived at this insight before James Tobin later got the credit.
That insight led Greenspan to radical conclusions. The gold standard, he argued, would prevent credit surges that create speculative bubbles. He testified against the 1971 Lockheed bailout, telling the Senate that government-directed lending “must inevitably lead to subsidization of the least efficient firms.” He said weak companies needed to fail so capital could flow to better-run businesses. He also attacked antitrust law, arguing that the financial system would naturally discipline monopolies.
Then Greenspan got close to power. He wanted to succeed Paul Volcker as Fed chairman. That required softening his views. In 1984, he supported the rescue of Continental Illinois National Bank, the largest bank bailout in U.S. history up to that point. Mallaby summarized Greenspan’s position as “necessary and appalling.” Appalling for the free market. Necessary for his career.
By the time he became Fed chairman, the transformation was complete. He abandoned the gold standard. His reasoning was circular: a gold standard requires the financial stability it is supposed to create. If stability already exists, why adopt one? The real reason was power. A commodity standard would remove the Fed’s discretion, and with it his influence.
Rothbard saw it coming. In 1987, he wrote that Greenspan’s real qualification was that he could be trusted never to rock the establishment’s boat. He had positioned himself in the middle of the economic spectrum, a conservative Keynesian almost indistinguishable from liberal Keynesians.
Greenspan got the power and acclaim he wanted. The 2008 crash, two years after he left office, damaged his reputation. The contrast with Rothbard is sharp. Rothbard could have tailored his views to win favor with Arthur Burns, a family friend. He refused. He never sold out for a handful of silver or a riband to stick in his coat.
Practical rule: When a policy maker’s career depends on pleasing the establishment, expect conviction to flex. Greenspan’s flip from gold-standard radical to bailout enforcer is the textbook case. For traders, the lesson is to trust the incentives, not the ideology.
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