
Gold dips below Rs1,45,000 on MCX as US-Iran talks progress; COMEX gold under $4,100. Crude stuck at $72-73. Indian equities rally but commodities diverge.
Gold slipped below Rs1,45,000 on the MCX on Wednesday. COMEX gold stayed under $4,100. Silver opened with a gap-down near Rs2,22,000 on MCX, with COMEX silver hovering around the $60–$61 support zone, as per exchange data. Crude oil remained range-bound at $72–$73 a barrel internationally; MCX crude was near Rs6,900.
Easing geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and progress in US-Iran peace talks capped any sharp upside in energy prices. The same forces trimmed safe-haven demand for gold and silver, the market data showed.
The commodity weakness coincided with a strong recovery in Indian equities. The Sensex jumped 705 points to 76,906, with the Nifty reclaiming 24,000. SBI Securities said the recovery was led by frontline private sector banks and consumer stocks. The automobile sector remained under pressure, with Bajaj Auto falling 2.23% and Maruti dropping 1.66%. That pattern suggests lower fuel costs are helping consumer discretionary stocks, not energy producers.
On the Nifty, options positioning showed meaningful call writing at the 24,100 and 24,200 strikes. The 24,000 put held substantial open interest. SBI Securities pegged support at 23,870–23,890 and resistance at 24,120–24,140. A close above resistance could shift the near-term tone. A break below support would invite fresh selling.
The Indian rupee traded in the Rs94.8–Rs94.9 range against the dollar, under mild pressure for a third straight session. A weaker rupee supports dollar-denominated gold prices but adds to imported inflation.
The next catalyst for commodities is the trajectory of US-Iran talks. A breakthrough would likely push crude toward the lower end of its range and could accelerate gold's decline below Rs1,45,000. Any escalation, however remote, would reverse the move.
For gold, the Rs1,45,000 level on MCX now acts as resistance after slipping below it. Silver's Rs2,22,000 support zone is the next line to hold. Traders can track gold profile and crude oil profile for key levels.
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