
The First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF (FPX) has lagged the S&P 500 as the US IPO pipeline contracts. The fund's performance hinges on the fall IPO calendar. Here's what to watch.
The First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF (FPX) has lost ground to the S&P 500 this year as the pipeline of new US listings dried up. The fund, which holds stocks within 12 months of their initial public offering, returned a fraction of the broad market's gain through mid-2025, according to Morningstar data. The underperformance reflects a simple reality: there are fewer IPOs to buy, and the ones that made it through the window have struggled.
The IPO market peaked in 2021, with 1,035 listings raising $339 billion, per Renaissance Capital. That pace collapsed. Through the first five months of 2025, just 68 companies went public in the US, raising $21 billion. The drought has left FPX with a portfolio that tilts toward older, underperforming stocks rather than the fresh disruptors the fund's name suggests.
Several of the fund's top holdings trade below their IPO prices. The construction itself creates a drag: FPX automatically sells stocks after 12 months, forcing turnover at inopportune times. When the IPO market is slow, the fund replaces weaker names with new issues that lack a proven track record. That mechanical churn amplifies the slump.
For traders, the simple read is that FPX offers a way to bet on the IPO market without picking individual names. The better market read is that the fund's performance is tied to the health of the IPO pipeline, which depends on interest rates and investor risk appetite. When those conditions sour, FPX tends to underperform.
The next catalyst is the fall IPO calendar. If a wave of high-profile companies like Stripe or Databricks go public, FPX would benefit. If the pipeline remains sparse, the fund could continue to lag. The risk is that the current slowdown is structural, not cyclical, due to a shift toward private capital and direct listings. A rebound in the IPO market would require both lower rates and a broader appetite for unprofitable growth stocks.
The next batch of IPO filings is due in late August, when the SEC's quiet period ends for several companies. That calendar will determine whether FPX's thesis holds.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.