
An essay warns that fiat currency debasement, fueled by war and welfare spending, is an irreversible path to economic collapse, citing the US since the 1960s.
An essay published this week argues that the sure way to destroy a prosperous nation is to debase its currency. The piece traces the pattern from ancient Rome to the French Republic to Weimar Germany, and contends that the United States and the broader West, all fiat currency regimes, are bound for the same end.
The author singles out two categories as the primary recipients of newly printed money: war and welfare. Neither, the essay says, can be sustained for long under a sound money standard, let alone both at once. Wars consume a nation's output and its young men. Welfare, once started, becomes irreversible short of total monetary collapse.
In the United States, the process began in the 1960s under President Lyndon Johnson, who pursued both the Vietnam War and his "Great Society" welfare programs. The author cites Johnson's own admission that he did not know how to end the war "honorably." Later administrations, the essay says, shifted away from hot wars toward the Cold War, but then refused to disband NATO after the Berlin Wall fell. Defense spending kept expanding, and new enemies appeared.
The welfare state, the author argues, became self-justifying. Single-family household subsidies encouraged more single-family households. Today a majority of children are born into such households. The essay claims that one in four Americans receives some form of government disability payment, with many recipients not actually disabled but justifying the payments as a way to get their money back.
These constituents, the author writes, form a powerful lobby to expand the programs. Those outside the money circle eventually find ways to qualify for new benefits. The entire system is not funded by taxes or honest borrowing, the essay says. Macroeconomics, the author asserts, is a pseudoscience that gives politicians an excuse to create money from thin air.
The author concludes that the "East" never succumbed to macroeconomic science and is ready to take the lead in a return to sound money. The essay offers no specific timeline or policy prescription, but warns that the current path cannot continue much longer.
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