
Copper holds above $6 support, while uranium and lithium break key technical levels, pointing to further downside, analyst says.
Copper, uranium and lithium prices are under short-term selling pressure, according to an analysis by Muhammad Umair, founder of Gold Predictors. The long-term outlook remains supported by global electrification and energy storage demand. The near-term technical signals point to further downside for uranium and lithium, with copper consolidating near support.
Copper prices are consolidating above $6.20, with immediate support at $6, Umair said. A break above $6.45 would signal a move toward $6.70. A drop below $6 would open the path to $5.20. The Sprott Copper Miners ETF is trading between $31 and $45. A break below $31 would likely push it to $25, Umair said.
China's energy storage capacity has reached close to 155 gigawatts and is expected to hit 300 gigawatts by 2030, supporting long-term demand for copper and lithium. Umair noted that China's planned consumption tax on certain lithium-ion battery products could raise costs for producers and exporters, potentially reducing excess competition and balancing the lithium market.
The uranium market is under heavy selling pressure, according to Umair. The Global X Uranium ETF broke below the $41 support of a triangle pattern and fell to $37.73. Immediate support is at $35.80. A break below that level would target $33. The Sprott Uranium Miners ETF also broke below $49.50 and is set to move toward $44. The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust is testing support at $26, with $23.50 as the next level.
Lithium prices are also bearish, Umair said. The Sprott Lithium Miners ETF broke below $11, a support level from a triangle pattern, and is now targeting $9. The Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF is approaching support at $68. The iShares Lithium Miners and Producers ETF broke below $15.50 and is set to move to $13.
Umair's analysis points to $6 as the key support for copper. Uranium and lithium may decline further before finding a bottom. The next catalysts include China's economic data and the lithium battery tax policy, he said.
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