
Coinbase rose 14.85% in the past month while Nvidia slipped 0.29%, as capital rotated into digital assets amid AI spending concerns and foreign competition.
Crypto companies beat AI hardware and chip stocks by a wide margin over the past month. Coinbase (COIN), America's largest crypto exchange, rose 14.85%. Nvidia (NVDA), the leading AI chip designer, lost 0.29%. Strategy (MSTR), the biggest public Bitcoin treasury, gained 10.62% while Palantir Technologies (PLTR) fell 1.75%.
Two main factors drove the divergence, analysts said. First, investors grew nervous about the massive capital expenditure pouring into AI without immediate returns. Second, breakthroughs from Chinese chipmakers and AI models challenged the US monopoly on advanced semiconductors and large language models. A Chinese firm recently engineered chip-manufacturing machines that compete with Dutch giant ASML's systems, raising doubts about the effectiveness of US export controls. Chinese AI models like Moonshot's KIMI K3 now excel in coding and math, tightening the race.
As a result, capital rotated into digital assets. Bitcoin gained 7.82% over the month. The total crypto market cap swelled from $2.05 trillion to $2.19 trillion.
Crypto mining stocks did not share the rally. Core Scientific (CORZ) fell 12.51% and Cipher Mining (CIFR) dropped 10.60%. High power costs and heavy debt loads weighed on the sector, analysts said. Some miners have shifted into AI hosting to offset dwindling mining profits, but long build-out timelines have kept investors cautious.
AlphaScala's proprietary Alpha Score rates COIN at 35 (Mixed), NVDA at 71 (Moderate), and PLTR at 46 (Mixed). The scores reflect each stock's recent price momentum and fundamental signals.
Both sectors face distinct risks. AI stocks draw comparisons to the 1999 dot-com bubble, some analysts said. Crypto's path depends on regulatory legitimization, with the CLARITY Act and stablecoin rules still in play.
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