
Coolpad's low-cost model lineup makes it the most exposed as memory cost hikes crush 618 discounts. Sales fell 13% during China's biggest shopping festival.
Smartphone sales in China dropped 13% during the June 618 shopping festival compared with a year earlier, data showed. Handset makers trimmed promotional discounts to offset higher memory chip costs, the report said.
The 618 festival, which runs June 1 through June 18, is one of China's biggest e-commerce events. Brands typically offer deep discounts to clear inventory. This year the price cuts were smaller. The reason: memory chip prices have climbed sharply over the past year.
DRAM and NAND flash costs rose after Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron cut production capacity. The three suppliers control most of the global memory market. Their output cuts, aimed at stabilizing prices after a 2023 slump, pushed contract prices higher through the first half of 2024. Handset makers, which buy memory in bulk, saw their bill of materials rise. To protect margins, they reduced the discounts offered during 618.
The result was weaker sales volume. Total smartphone units sold during the festival fell to roughly 23 million, according to the data. That compares with about 26.5 million a year earlier. The decline was steeper than the overall market's contraction in the first quarter, when shipments fell about 6%.
Coolpad, the Shenzhen-based handset maker listed in the U.S. over-the-counter market under ticker CFTLF, is among the companies exposed to the trend. Coolpad focuses on low-cost models, where memory represents a larger share of total component cost. A 10% rise in DRAM prices can erase most of the margin on a $100 phone, analysts at a Shanghai brokerage said in a note last month. The company did not comment on the 618 results.
Larger players like Xiaomi and Oppo also pulled back on promotions. Their scale gives them more room to absorb cost increases. Xiaomi's gross margin on smartphones was 14.8% in the March quarter, down from 15.6% a year earlier. The 618 data suggests further pressure in the June quarter.
The memory cost cycle is the key variable for the second half. Spot prices for DRAM have leveled off in recent weeks. Some traders expect a decline in the fourth quarter as new supply comes online. If that happens, handset makers could restore promotional spending ahead of the November Singles' Day event. If prices stay high, the volume drag will persist.
The 618 results come ahead of the second-quarter earnings season for Chinese handset makers. Most report in August.
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