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CLARITY Act odds jump to 33% on ethics compromise
YES probability rose to 33% from 26% as the White House reviews a bipartisan enforcement compromise. The bill needs 60 votes.
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The White House is reviewing a bipartisan ethics compromise on the CLARITY Act, the digital-asset market structure bill. A Senate floor vote before the August recess remains uncertain.
The compromise would give state attorneys general enforcement power alongside the Department of Justice, a change meant to strengthen the bill's enforcement provisions. The legislation has cleared the Senate Banking Committee. It needs 60 votes on the Senate floor to advance.
Prediction markets have priced in a higher chance of passage. The YES probability for the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 rose to 33% from 26% over the past 24 hours. Traders said the increase reflected optimism that the ethics compromise could break the legislative logjam.
The legislative text has not been publicly released. The exact details of the compromise remain unclear, leaving potential hurdles unknown.