
The CFTC ordered Kalshi to honor Michigan trades, rejecting a state court's attempt to unwind sports contracts. Chairman Selig said canceling trades would undermine market certainty.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission ordered Kalshi on Tuesday to honor trades involving Michigan residents, escalating the regulator's dispute with state authorities over who controls prediction market platforms.
The order came about two weeks after a Michigan state court told Kalshi to stop offering sports-related event contracts and unwind certain existing trades. The state's action targeted a core part of the platform's activity and would have forced Kalshi to cancel trades that had already been executed.
The CFTC rejected that approach, arguing that Kalshi is a registered Designated Contract Market regulated under federal commodities law. In the agency's view, Michigan cannot force a federally regulated exchange to treat residents of one state differently or cancel valid trades because a state court objects to the product.
The Kalshi dispute is part of a wider conflict between federal regulators and state officials over whether prediction market platforms should be treated as federally regulated derivatives markets or as businesses offering products that resemble online gambling.
Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel previously said the state's gambling laws were designed to protect residents from unlicensed and predatory operators.
"Our gambling laws exist to protect Michiganders from unlicensed, predatory operations, and failing to comply with them carries serious legal consequences," she said.
The CFTC's strongest objection focused on Michigan's attempt to unwind trades that had already been executed. For markets, that is a more serious step than blocking new activity because it challenges the finality of contracts.
Contract certainty is central to exchange-based markets. Traders need to know that once a transaction is executed under the rules of a regulated venue, it will not later be canceled because of a separate state-level order. If one state can force cancellations after execution, other states could attempt similar actions, creating uneven treatment across the same national market.
For prediction market platforms, the ruling offers immediate support against state-level pressure. For state regulators, it raises the stakes in their legal challenge because the CFTC is now actively defending not only platform registration but also the enforceability of trades involving residents in contested states.
The Michigan dispute is one front in a broader legal campaign. The CFTC said it has filed lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, Kentucky, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin to protect the jurisdiction it says Congress granted it.
The CFTC has filed lawsuits against nine states. No trial dates have been set.
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