
BlackRock's Samara Cohen calls CLARITY Act an 'important step' as Senate delays push 2025 passage odds to ~27%. Industry eyes year-end rider.
The Senate has effectively sidelined the CLARITY Act, the crypto market-structure bill, pushing its path to passage into a year-end legislative scramble. BlackRock publicly threw its weight behind the bill. Samara Cohen, the firm's senior managing director and global head of market development, called it "an important step toward establishing a regulatory framework for digital assets that puts investors first."
Cohen added that the bill would help the United States "shape the next era of market structure" while keeping the transparency and investor protections that make U.S. capital markets the global benchmark. BlackRock joins Fidelity, Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton and others in the chorus. Institutional firepower is now lined up. The Senate schedule, however, is not.
With the market-structure effort shelved for the summer, the remaining route runs through those end-of-year "vehicles" – the giant funding and policy bills Congress tends to ram through under deadline pressure. The theory is simple: if the CLARITY Act can be packaged as a manageable add-on, it might advance without burning scarce floor time in a jammed Senate calendar. That path comes loaded with strings. Attaching anything to must-pass legislation invites last-minute bargaining, carve-out demands, and the very real risk that some unrelated political fight sinks the whole package.
It also drops crypto back into the familiar Capitol Hill reality: a bill can enjoy broad support in principle and still die from exhaustion, scheduling, or leadership priorities. Prediction markets currently price the odds of passage before year-end at roughly 27%, according to reports citing multiple outlets. The Senate pivoted to a Russia sanctions bill and federal nominations, pushing the CLARITY Act to the back burner.
Negotiators are still working a bipartisan ethics counteroffer for the White House. That is another reminder that crypto legislation keeps getting pulled into broader trust and governance fights. For crypto exchanges, token issuers, and DeFi protocols, the delay means continued regulatory uncertainty. The CLARITY Act would define which tokens are securities versus commodities, and set rules for exchange registration. Without it, the SEC's enforcement-led approach remains the default.
BlackRock's involvement signals that the largest asset manager sees a clear regulatory framework as essential for institutional adoption. The firm manages $15 trillion in assets. Its public endorsement adds weight to the push, but it does not change the calendar. The Senate is in recess until September. When it returns, the floor schedule is already packed with appropriations, defense authorization, and potential government funding deadlines.
The year-end vehicle approach is not new. Similar strategies have been used for other financial legislation, from Dodd-Frank tweaks to the JOBS Act. But it also exposes the bill to demands from senators who may want to add their own provisions. The final version could be significantly different from the current draft. Some provisions might be stripped to reduce opposition. Others might be added to win votes from fence-sitting lawmakers.
The key date to watch is the lame-duck session after the November elections. Congress typically passes must-spend bills in December. If the CLARITY Act is not attached by then, the entire legislative process resets in 2026. A new Congress would reintroduce the bill, with hearings starting from scratch.
For now, the market is pricing in a low probability of near-term passage. Traders and investors should monitor the Senate's schedule and any statements from leadership about year-end priorities. The next concrete marker is whether the bill surfaces in a committee markup or as a rider on a must-pass vehicle before the November recess. CLARITY Act delay risks US crypto lead, Haridopolos warns and CLARITY Act odds sink to 27% after Senate delays crypto bill provide additional context on the legislative timeline and the stakes for the industry.
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