
ASEAN foreign ministers meet in Manila amid Iran war, Myanmar crisis, South China Sea tensions. Rubio, Wang Yi, Lavrov attend. Energy costs, Quad strategy in focus.
Southeast Asian foreign ministers gathering in Manila this week will issue a joint statement expressing alarm over renewed hostilities between the United States and Iran, two Southeast Asian diplomats told The Associated Press. The fighting has again threatened shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway that carried roughly 20% of global oil supplies before the war.
The region of more than 680 million people relies heavily on Middle East crude and liquefied natural gas. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. declared a national energy emergency in March to secure fuel supplies and prevent hoarding and profiteering. The AP report noted that the Iran war had already caused severe supply and price shocks in Southeast Asia.
Washington’s focus on the Iran conflict has raised concerns about its attention to the Asia-Pacific, including China’s actions in the South China Sea and around Taiwan. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is attending the ASEAN meetings to renew assurances of a “free and open Indo-Pacific,” State Department spokesperson Thomas Pigott said. Rubio is expected to meet with Quad counterparts – India, Japan and Australia – on the sidelines. The Quad, first established in 2007, is a centerpiece of US strategy to counter China and has been criticized by Beijing as a containment scheme.
Myanmar’s civil war is also on the agenda. A five-point peace plan issued by ASEAN in 2021 has failed to end the violence. More than 8,100 people have been killed and nearly 22,500 remain detained, according to the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners, a rights-monitoring group. ASEAN foreign ministers met their Myanmar counterpart for the first time in five years this month in Bangkok, drawing criticism from rights groups who said the bloc abandoned its ban on engaging senior Myanmar officials. Philippine Foreign Secretary Theresa Lazaro, who serves as ASEAN’s special envoy, defended the meeting. “The path to peace can only be obtained through resolute diplomacy with all parties to the conflict,” she said.
Negotiations on a South China Sea code of conduct will be discussed with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi. The talks have dragged on for years, and confrontations between Chinese and Philippine coast guard vessels have intensified in recent years. The territorial disputes involve China, Taiwan, and ASEAN members Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is also attending the talks. Neither Rubio nor Lavrov have announced plans to meet each other or Ukraine’s top diplomat, Andrii Sybiha, who has been invited to attend a Friday ceremony marking the 50th anniversary of ASEAN’s Treaty of Amity and Cooperation. Sybiha is not a participant in the main ASEAN meetings that Lavrov and Rubio will attend.
The meetings run through Friday.
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