
Financial advisors' confidence in the economy fell 12% in June, with 43% expecting a decline in the next 12 months, the highest share in the survey's two-year history. Advisors remain more bullish on stocks, citing a K-shaped recovery.
Financial advisors' confidence in the U.S. economy dropped 12% in June, sending the Wealth Management IQ Advisor Sentiment Index to a reading of 106. The stock market sentiment index fell nearly 8% to 121. A reading of 100 marks neutral territory; anything above signals positive views, anything below negative.
The survey, which polls advisors monthly, found 44% of respondents view the current economy as positive. Only 5% called it “excellent.” Roughly 27% held a negative view. The index had spiked to a near-record high in May.
Looking ahead 12 months, 43% of advisors expect the economy to have declined by next year. That is the highest proportion expecting a downturn since the survey began two years ago. An almost equal 46% expect improvement.
Advisors remain more upbeat on equities. A decisive 66% consider the current stock market positive; 10% see it negatively. For the next year, 50% expect improvement, 34% a decline.
A recurring theme in the written responses is a perceived divergence between a resilient stock market and the financial reality facing many consumers and small businesses. Advisors described a “K-shaped” economy where higher-income households continue to benefit from rising asset prices, while inflation and housing costs leave many Americans struggling. Some questioned whether headline market gains accurately reflect overall economic health.
The on-again, off-again nature of international diplomacy and persistent inflation are prompting advisors to reconsider their views, according to the survey. The data was collected June 1-30 by Wealth Management and Informa Engage.
While sentiment indexes remain above neutral, the shift suggests advisors are growing more cautious even as they stay generally positive on stocks. The next survey, covering July, will show whether the trend continues as second-quarter earnings season unfolds and the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision approaches.
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