
Brent crude rose to $88.40 and WTI to $81 after Monday's drop. The dollar and commodity currencies track oil's moves as traders await clarity on US-Iran talks.
Oil prices bounced on Tuesday after Monday's sharp selloff, with Brent crude rising to $88.40 a barrel and WTI climbing to $81. The rebound came as traders weighed conflicting signals from the US and Iran over ongoing negotiations.
President Trump called off additional strikes on Iran over the weekend, raising hopes for a diplomatic deal. Iranian officials have given mixed signals, leaving the risk of supply disruption intact. The market is pricing in a geopolitical risk premium that could fade quickly if progress materializes, or spike if tensions escalate, traders said.
The oil price moves are feeding into currency markets. The dollar index edged lower on Tuesday; the risk premium in oil weighed on the greenback, traders said. The Canadian dollar, sensitive to crude prices, pared earlier losses as WTI held above $80. The Norwegian krone also strengthened against the euro as Brent stayed above $88.
Shipping disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz continue to add cost. Some tankers have taken longer routes, adding extra time and fuel costs. The strait still handles a large share of global oil exports, and any further escalation would hit supply directly, traders said.
Technical levels are in focus. WTI found support at $77.50, the neckline of a rounding bottom pattern from June, according to technical analysts. A break below that level could open the door to $65, analysts said. On the upside, a clear move above $90 would target $100, analysts said. Brent crude has support at $85 and the 50-day moving average, with resistance at $90 and $100.
Weekly charts show oil trading in a wide range between $70 and $120, with no clear direction until the Iran situation resolves. The RSI on Brent's daily chart is above the midline, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. The price has yet to clear $90.
Oil prices are likely to remain volatile until the next round of talks or any shipping disruption near the Strait of Hormuz, traders said. WTI is expected to range between $77.50 and $90, while Brent may trade between $85 and $90.
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