
Bonds offered 7-8% returns last year while the Nifty fell 4%. Experts say fixed income still anchors portfolios through geopolitical shocks and market volatility.
Geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, inflation risks and climate disruptions keep global markets on edge. The US-Iran conflict, trade wars, and El Niño's impact can quickly affect portfolio returns.
Investors cannot control those events. They can adjust how they allocate. Financial experts say fixed income helps portfolios weather periods of heightened volatility.
“In an environment shaped by geopolitical shocks, El Niño risks and shifting policy signals, fixed income continues to act as support for portfolios,” said Harsha Vardhana VM, founder and group CEO of Atom Financial Services. Bonds offer contractual coupon payments and principal repayment, making them less vulnerable to earnings volatility than equities.
“Fixed-income instruments reduce volatility in a portfolio while providing regular cash flows, defined maturities and greater visibility over returns,” said Vineet Agrawal, co-founder of Jiraaf.
Agrawal suggests building a diversified bond portfolio with government securities (G-Secs), AAA and AA-rated bonds for stability, plus selective exposure to A and BBB-rated investment-grade bonds to enhance return potential. The allocation should be diversified across issuers, sectors and maturities.
Rising crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions could keep inflation elevated and cause mark-to-market volatility in debt markets. Shorter-duration bonds generally experience lower price volatility.
“In the current environment, investors may consider maintaining exposure to lower-duration fixed income strategies to limit mark-to-market risk while preserving portfolio stability,” said Harsimran Sahni, EVP and head of treasury at Anand Rathi Global Finance.
During sharp equity market corrections, government securities and high-quality corporate bonds typically fall less than equities and often continue delivering positive returns, helping preserve capital when market sentiment weakens, experts said.
Fixed income should remain a core component of every diversified portfolio, regardless of an investor's experience or risk appetite.
According to data from Anand Rathi, the Nifty declined about 4% over the past year. Debt portfolios generated returns of roughly 7-8%, helping improve overall portfolio performance.
Harsha Vardhana recommends retail investors think of their bond allocation in layers. At the core should be sovereign instruments such as G-Secs and Treasury Bills, which offer minimal credit risk and high liquidity. Around that core, investors can add AAA and strong AA-rated corporate bonds to earn higher yields while keeping default risk under control.
Short-duration bonds, particularly those with maturities of one to three years, can reduce sensitivity to interest rate movements. Investors worried about further rate hikes may consider floating-rate bonds linked to benchmark rates, allowing portfolio income to adjust as interest rates change.
“The portfolio should not be concentrated in one issuer, sector, rating or maturity,” Agrawal said. He recommends building a bond ladder by investing in securities with staggered maturity dates. That approach provides periodic liquidity, reduces reinvestment risk and avoids locking the entire portfolio into a single interest-rate cycle.
Sahni also recommends a diversified combination of high-quality corporate bond funds, dynamic bond funds and liquid funds, depending on an investor's time horizon and market outlook. Corporate bond funds provide relatively stable accrual opportunities. Liquid and low-duration funds offer flexibility to rebalance into equities during market corrections. Dynamic bond funds can be useful because fund managers actively adjust portfolio duration as interest rate expectations evolve.
For investors who prefer professional management, Harsha Vardhana believes debt mutual funds offer an efficient solution. Short-duration and corporate bond funds investing in diversified portfolios of high-quality issuers can provide accrual-driven returns with moderate volatility. Dynamic bond funds allow fund managers to shift between short- and long-duration strategies as the interest rate cycle changes.
Multi-asset and conservative hybrid funds, which combine debt with limited equity exposure, can further smooth portfolio returns. Liquid and money market funds remain suitable for cash management during periods of heightened uncertainty.
“Investors should first define whether their bond allocation is intended for portfolio stability, regular income or a specific financial goal,” Agrawal said. A diversified portfolio built around G-Secs and AAA- and AA-rated bonds, with measured exposure to A- and BBB-rated investment-grade bonds, can improve return potential without taking excessive risk.
Depending on prevailing yields, maturity profile, and issuer selection, such a diversified bond portfolio could target an annual pre-tax yield of about 11%. Investors should evaluate an issuer's financial strength, repayment capability, security structure and maturity profile rather than choosing bonds solely based on coupon rates or credit ratings.
Harsha Vardhana concluded that a few investment principles remain timeless. Investors should align bond duration with their financial goals, prioritise credit quality over high yields and diversify across sovereign bonds, high-grade corporate bonds and debt mutual funds.
“Most importantly, bonds should be treated as a strategic allocation rather than a tactical trade. Their stabilising effect is realised when they are held consistently through market cycles, not after volatility has already spiked,” he said.
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