
US PPI fell 0.3% in June, the biggest goods decline since 2022, as energy prices dropped 6.4%. The data strengthens the disinflation case ahead of the Fed's next meeting.
US producer prices unexpectedly declined in June, reinforcing the disinflationary message from Tuesday's softer consumer inflation report. The Producer Price Index fell 0.3% month over month, against expectations for a 0.2% increase. Annual producer inflation slowed to 5.5% from a revised 6.0%.
The weakness was concentrated in goods prices, which dropped 1.4% – the largest monthly decline since July 2022. Energy prices plunged 6.4%, led by a 12.0% fall in gasoline prices that accounted for nearly two-thirds of the decline in final demand goods. Food prices slipped 0.6%. Core goods excluding food and energy rose 0.2%, while final demand services increased 0.2%, reflecting firmer retail margins and selected business services.
The Fed's preferred measure of underlying producer inflation – final demand less foods, energy and trade services – edged up just 0.1% after surging 0.8% in May. The annual rate held at 5.1%.
Together with Tuesday's CPI report, the June PPI data suggests inflation pressures moderated significantly before the recent jump in crude oil prices, giving the Federal Reserve more room to assess the inflation path before its next policy decision.
Drafted by a large language model from the source reporting linked above, then screened by automated publishing checks. It is not read by a journalist before publication. Some articles cite our Alpha Score. Verify prices and figures against the original source. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.