
Trump says US-Iran 'no-nuke' deal to be signed, reopening Strait of Hormuz. Iran pushes back. Oil markets face volatility as diplomatic timeline shifts.
President Donald Trump said a U.S.-Iran “no-nuke” peace deal will be signed, reopening the Strait of Hormuz and replacing the Obama-era JCPOA. He called the agreement “a wall to no nuclear weapon” and warned of an “ultimate alternative” if talks fail.
Pakistan signaled a breakthrough between Washington and Tehran. Iranian officials pushed back, saying no deal would be signed on the proposed date. They cited concerns over U.S. consistency but left the door open for an agreement in the coming days.
The Strait of Hormuz is a chokepoint for about 20% of global oil shipments. A reopening would lower tanker insurance premiums and reduce the risk premium baked into crude prices. Iran's pushback introduces uncertainty. The timeline for any signing remains unclear.
Oil traders are watching for a concrete date. The gap between Trump's announcement and Iran's denial means the market will price in a range of outcomes until a formal signing occurs.
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